- Firefox Browser market share will continue to grow in 2005.
- Eclipse market share will continue to grow.
- AMD will continue to increase its performance dominance over Intel.
- Javascript will regain dominance in the space of Rich Internet Applications (RIA).
- Java developers will continue to abandon EJB as the standard way of building Java based server applications.
- Semantic XHTML will continue to gain mind share as the best way to encode semantic information.
- SOA will continue to mesmerize the masses...
- Large costly multi-cpu servers will be abandoned in favor of lots of cheap low cost single CPU servers.
- IT Deflation will be the continuing trend.
- Scripting languages will become dominant in addressing the needs of situated software.
In response, here is my set of predictions:
- IE7 market share will grow from a initial user-base of 0%.
- Linux market share will continue grow. Isn't this more interesting than speculating about the marketshare of a big bloated IDE?
- Multi-core CPUs will be marketed as the next big thing. This means your new dual core processor PC will operate at half the speed most of the time because your apps make little use of parallel processing.
- Err, Javascript is already the dominant technology in Rich Internet Applications, and the status quo will continue.
- Managers of Java developers will continue to switch to simpler technologies like outsourcing to India.
- The semantics of Semantic XHTML will continue to confuse you and me.
- SOA is a theoretical construct that will be made irrelevant under the weight of real APIs defined by companies like eBay, Amazon or Google.
- Large costly multi-cpu servers will be replaced by costly programmers who can program loosely distributed systems running on cheap hardware. Or they switch to PHP and get script kiddies like you and me to code.
- IT Deflation means kids know PHP but refuse to learn Java or C++ or become professional programmers.
- Scripting languages become dominant because this means anyone can be a programmer without becoming a nerd.
;-)
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